People Patterns Consulting

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Publications

Canada Job
Trends Update
2011
- National, Provincial
and City Labour Markets

Canadian
Gender Realities
2010
- Men and
Women at home,
at work and play -
National and
Provincial Trends

Labour Crunch to
2021
- National
and Provincial
Labour Force
Projections

Provincial People
Patterns 2007
- Social and
Demographic Trends

Canadian Age
Trends and
Transitions to
2016
- How We Are Shaping Our
Shared Future
(2003)

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Publications

Canada Job Trends Update 2011
National, Provincial and City Labour Markets

Labour market information (LMI) is Roger Sauvι’s stock in trade. His blend of expertise provides a snapshot of information literacy in action. (Janis Foord Kirk, in a WORKOPOLIS article in the Toronto Star)

The report is easy to read and will both substantiate and challenge the reader's notions of the economy and the labour market in Canada today. (From a review in Contact Point, a website for Career Development Practitioners)

In this tenth edition, the author presents a factual, hard-hitting, and objective 84-page report on the labour market in Canada, the provinces and cities. Complete with lively commentary, charts, tables and provincial and city rankings. Author Roger Sauvι, is President of People Patterns Consulting and has been widely quoted in the national media including the Globe and Mail, Toronto Star, The National Post, Maclean’s, MoneySense, Canadian Business, CBC, CTV, The Wall Street Journal and many others.

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Table of contents

  • TOP 8 TRENDS - Jobs increase, ongoing stress, aging, shifting occupations…and shortages
  • INTRODUCTION - Updated annual trends, RECOVERY FACTS plus Census Profiles
  • SHORT-TERM OVERVIEW - Improving employment and slow decline in jobless in early 2011
  • TRENDS
  • UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IMPROVE SLOWLY
    • National – Long-term unemployment worsens again in 2010
    • Provincial – Saskatchewan has lowest unemployment rate for second year in a row
    • Major cities - Ontario CMAs have highest unemployment
  • UNEMPLOYMENT RANGES FROM 4.8% TO 17.1% IN SMALLER CITIES
    • The medium-term – Lowest unemployment in Wood Buffalo (includes Fort McMurray)
  • MORE STABLE JOB MARKET IN 2010 AS FEWER LEAVE AND FEWER FIRED
    • National – Fewer fired job leavers and job losers in 2010
    • Provincial – School is, by far, the biggest reason for quitting jobs
  • SOME OCCUPATIONAL SHORTAGES IN 2010
    • National – Health related shortages evident in latest numbers
  • UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION INCREASES AGAIN IN 2010
    • National – Women take two weeks less to find a job than men do
    • Provincial – A second time – longest unemployment duration is in Ontario
  • JOB SEARCHERS ACT AS IF RECESSION IS STILL ON
    • National – Checking with employers still number one in job search
    • Provincial – Internet most popular in Ontario
  • JUST A FEW LESS WERE “DISCOURAGED” IN 2010
    • National – The “discouraged” still up 56% compared to pre-recession year
    • Provincial – Many more women than men not looking for work for family reasons in all provinces
  • JOB GAINS IN EIGHT PROVINCES IN 2010
    • National – 228,000 jobs come back in 2010 as recovery takes hold
    • Provincial – Only Alberta and New Brunswick continue to shrink in 2010
    • Major CMAs (Census Metropolitan Areas) – 21 of 33 CMAs with job gains in 2010
  • WOOD BUFFALO OUTPACES 45 SMALLER CITIES IN DECADE
    • The medium-term – Jobs in Wood Buffalo (includes Fort McMurray) up 83%
  • GROWING EMPLOYMENT GAP FOR RECENT IMMIGRANTS
    • National –– Recent immigrants filled about half of labour force growth from 2001 to 2006
    • Provincial – Recent immigrants fill more than half of new labour force growth in 3 provinces
    • Major cities – Immigrants are now half of total workforce in Toronto
  • RECORD LOW FOR MEN DOING 50 PLUS HOURS PER WEEK
    • National – Workers aged 65+ now working more hours than those under 25 … switch from 1989
    • Provincial – Full-time male workers in Saskatchewan work most hours
  • UNPAID OVERTIME NEAR RECORD HIGH IN 2010
    • National – Senior management and teachers work the most overtime per week … mostly unpaid
    • Provincial – Most likely to work overtime in Saskatchewan and Alberta
  • WORKERS HOLD ON TO SECOND JOBS
    • National – Health workers most likely to hold a second job
    • Provincial – Workers in Saskatchewan most likely to moonlight
  • REAL EARNINGS BASICALLY FLAT IN 2010
    • National – Earnings barely surpass inflation in 2010
    • Provincial – Newfoundlanders have biggest real wage gains during decade
  • THE WORKING POOR … WORKING FOR LESS THAN $12 AN HOUR
    • National – Full-time employees majority of Canadian workers earning less than $12 an hour
    • Provincial – Newfoundland female employees most likely to earn less than $12 per hour
  • UNIONIZATION RATES HIGHER FOR WOMEN
    • National – Unionization rates trend down for men and trend up for women
    • Provincial – Quebec and Newfoundland are the most unionized provinces with Alberta the least
  • MORE WORKERS “OFF THE JOB” FOR ONLY PART OF THE WEEK
    • National – Over one-quarter of Canadian workers away from work in a typical week
    • Provincial – Fewest days off in British Columbia
  • PUBLIC/GOVERNMENT UP THE FASTEST IN 2010
    • National – Self- employment declined in 2010
    • Provincial – Public sector employees grew faster than private sector employees in 8 provinces
  • CENSUS PROFILES – COMMUTERS TRAVEL 7.6 KM
    • National – Men commute farther than women
    • Provincial – Prince Edward Island commuters most likely to drive to work
  • MANUFACTURING DOWN AGAIN IN 2010
    • National – Jobs gains in mining and oil and gas extraction tops in decade
    • Provincial – Alberta and PEI lead growth in over half of all industries in decade
  • SMALL WORKPLACES CREATED MOST OF JOBS IN 2010
    • National – Establishments with fewer than 20 employees created half the jobs in 2010
    • Provincial – Even in Quebec relatively few work in large (500+) establishments
  • SERVICE OCCUPATIONS UP MOST IN DECADE
    • National – Four occupations shrink in decade
    • Provincial – Ontario and Quebec lead in top two growth occupations
  • CENSUS PROFILES – FASTEST GROWTH IN 522 OCCUPATIONS
    • National – Males working as administrative clerks biggest increase from 2001 to 2006
    • Provincial – New Brunswick led the way in oil and gas drillers
  • CENSUS PROFILES – TOP THREE OCCUPATIONS BY PROVINCE
    • National – Retail salespersons or sales clerks most common occupation for both men and women
    • Provincial – Retail salespersons and retail clerks biggest female occupation in nine provinces
  • CENSUS PROFILES – TOP 15 EARNINGS BY DETAIL OCCUPATION
    • National – Five times more men earn over $100,000 per year than do women
  • WOMEN MORE EDUCATED THAN MEN
    • National – Those with a university degree got most of the new jobs in 2010
    • Provincial – Ontario has the most university graduates among both men and women
  • CENSUS PROFILES – MORE EDUCATION = MORE DOLLARS
    • National – Additional education has bigger payoff for women
    • Provincial – Alberta earnings mostly higher for all levels of education
  • ABOUT 8 IN 10 STILL WORK AT FULL-TIME (30+ hours) JOBS
    • National – Both full-time and permanent job ratios move down in 2010
    • Provincial – Workers in Newfoundland and PEI least likely to hold permanent jobs
  • MANY PART-TIMERS STILL BLAME WEAK BUSINESS CONDITIONS
    • National – No surprise here … seniors prefer part-time work
    • Provincial – More part-timers in Alberta now put blame on a weak economy
  • FEWER SINGLE MOTHERS WITH YOUNG CHILDREN AT WORK
    • National – Female lone-parents see significant drop in employment rates
    • Provincial – Female lone-parents with children 6-15 most likely to be employed in Manitoba
  • CENSUS PROFILES - WOMEN DO MORE UNPAID HOME DUTIES
    • National – The male/female unpaid gap is largest for housework
    • Provincial – The male/female unpaid gap is smallest in Quebec
  • JOB TENURE NEARING EQUALTIY
    • National – Shortest tenure is for food and beverage workers
    • Provincial – Saskatchewan males have longest job tenure
  • THE GREY WAVE IS GETTING BIGGER
    • National – Those aged 45 and up comprised ALL of the labour force growth again in 2010
    • Provincial – Atlantic Provinces have the oldest workers, Alberta the youngest
  • DELAYED RETIREMENT AS RECORD NUMBERS KEEP WORKING
    • National – Many more of those aged 60+ remain at work
    • Provincial – Workers in three provinces retire before 60 … the rest work one to four more years
  • SASKATCHEWAN CAPTURES “BEST FOR YOUTH” PRIZE
    • National – Youth employment down for second year in a row in 2010
    • Provincial youth rankings - Saskatchewan ranks #1, Quebec moves up to #2, Ontario near bottom

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