CANADA JOB TRENDS – Update 2005
National and Provincial Labour Markets

Fourth edition. March 2005. ISBN 1-894366-11-5

The report is easy to read and will both substantiate and challenge the reader's notions of the economy and the labour market in Canada today. (From a review in Contact Point, a website for Career Development Practitioners)

A factual, hard-hitting, objective 88-page report on the labour market in Canada, the provinces and cities. Presented with lively commentary, charts, tables and provincial and city rankings. Also contains a youth provincial employment ranking based on 10 indicators. Author Roger Sauvė, is President of People Patterns Consulting and has been quoted in the national media including the Globe and Mail, National Post, Maclean’s, CBC, CTV, Toronto Star and many others

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Complete Table of Contents

 

TOP 10 TRENDS

 

INTRODUCTION – Updated, expanded annual trends, youth rankings plus Census Profiles

 

SHORT-TERM OVERVIEW A sputtering start to 2005

 

Trends

1

LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE SLIPS TO RECORD LOW IN 2004

 

National –Further improvement as jobs rise again

 

Provincial - Improvement in eight provinces in 2004

 

Major cities – Edmonton, Calgary, Regina and Kitchener CMAs have the lowest rates

2

BELLEVILLE HAS LOWEST UNEMPLOYMENT AMONG SMALLER CITIES

 

The medium-term – Vernon improves sharply while Drummondville moves down

3

VOLUNTARY JOB LEAVERS MORE NUMEROUS THAN THOSE FIRED

 

National – Good job scene encourages workers to say “I quit”

 

Provincial – In Alberta, people  quit if they are dissatisfied, not  in Newfoundland

4

GROWING SHORTAGES IN THE HEALTH SECTOR

 

National – Several occupations and industries have very low unemployment rates

5

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT REMAINS AT 16 WEEKS IN 2004

 

National – Men take two weeks longer to find a job

 

Provincial –Unemployment now lasts 18 weeks in Quebec and 10 weeks in Alberta

6

JOB SEEKERS USE DIFFERENT METHODS WHEN LOOKING

 

National – Internet and friends increasing in importance

 

Provincial – Prince Edward Island residents still use public agencies

7

FEWER “DISCOURAGED” BY JOB SEARCH

 

“Discouraged” youth reduced by three-quarters

 

Provincial – Hard to find the “discouraged” in Alberta … easy to find in Newfoundland

8

JOB GROWTH POSITIVE BUT LESS ROBUST IN 2004

 

National – Employment growth of 285,000 in 2004 compared to over 350,000 in 2003

 

Provincial – Nova Scotia set the pace in 2004 … no declines in any province

 

Major CMAs (Census Metropolitan Areas) – Abbottsford and Sudbury booming in 2004

9

SMALLER CITIES IN BC CLAIM BOTH ENDS OF JOB GROWTH RANKINGS

 

The medium-term – Jobs in Kelowna jump by 84% between 1989 and 2004

 

The short-term – Not based on a big sample, but the winner for 2004 is Miramichi

10

CENSUS PROFILESIMMIGRATION SUPPLIES MAJORITY OF WORKERS

 

National –– Recent immigrants fill 70% of all new jobs during decade

 

Provincial – Recent immigrants fill more than 100% of labour force growth in 4 provinces

 

Major cities – Immigrants comprise all growth in the decade in several cities

11

NEAR-RECORD LOW FOR WEEKLY HOURS

 

National – Self-employed men work an extra 10 weeks in 2004

 

Provincial – Full-time workers in Quebec have the shortest hours

12

THE MAJORITY OF OVERTIME WORK IS UNPAID

 

National – Senior management means working an extra 12 hours of unpaid overtime

 

Provincial – Albertans and Quebecois do the least unpaid overtime

13

MOONLIGHTING NEAR RECORD HIGH IN 2004

 

National – Women now more likely to hold a second job than are men

 

Provincial – Western Canadians most likely to hold moonlight … Newfoundlanders the least

14

REAL EARNINGS INCREASE IN 2004 … BUT UP ONLY 2.7% SINCE 1997

 

National – Senior management earn the most

 

Provincial – Real earnings increase the least in New Brunswick and British Columbia 

15

CENSUS PROFILES - WORKING FULL-TIME AND STILL POOR

 

National – Over 1.2 million many earn less than the poverty line … and they work full-time

 

Provincial – Ontario has the fewest “working poor”

16

UNIONIZATION RATES NOW THE SAME FOR MEN AND WOMEN

 

National – Unionization rates falling among men and rising among women

 

Provincial – Quebec and Newfoundland the most unionized provinces with Alberta the least

17

MORE PEOPLE “OFF THE JOB” IN A TYPICAL WEEK

 

National – Over one-quarter of workers are away from work for all or part of the week

 

Provincial – Largest absence from work in Nova Scotia and smallest in Ontario

18

SELF-EMPLOYMENT GROWTH OUTPACES THE REST

 

National – Self-employed with no paid help up 71% since 1989  

 

Provincial – Fewer Newfoundland public sector employees over medium-term

19

CENSUS PROFILES – COMMUTERS TRAVEL 7.2 KM TO GET TO WORK

 

National – Three-quarters of workers drive to work

 

Provincial – PEI commuters are the most likely to drive to work

20

BUSINESS, BUILDING & OTHER SUPPORT SERVICES TOP INDUSTRY

 

National  –Jobs in 15 major industries expanded and five shrank over the medium-term

 

Provincial – New Brunswick is the job leader in the two fastest growing industries

21

NUMBER OF COMPANIES WITH EMPLOYEES EXPANDS AGAIN

 

National – The number of companies regains momentum

 

Provincial – Alberta and BC have a growing share of all companies … shrinkage elsewhere

22

ONE-THIRD WORK FOR COMPANIES WITH UNDER 20 EMPLOYEES

 

National – Two-thirds work for companies with fewer than 100 employees

 

Provincial – Even in Quebec and Ontario, only 15% work for the larger companies

23

NOT ALL OCCUPATIONS MOVING IN SAME DIRECTION

 

National – Majority of occupations expand … but five shrink

 

Provincial – Alberta and British Columbia set the pace for most occupations

24

CENSUS PROFILES – FASTEST GROWTH AMONG 500+ OCCUPATIONS

 

National – Female commissioned police officers the fastest growing occupation in decade

 

Provincial – More male motorcycle mechanics in MB and female police officers in Ontario

25

CENSUS PROFILES - LARGEST OCCUPATIONS OF 500+ BY PROVINCE

 

National – Almost one in 20 females are retail salespersons or retail clerks

 

Provincial – Retail salespersons/clerks is biggest female occupation in six provinces

26

CENSUS PROFILES – TOP EARNERS AMONG 700+ OCCUPATIONS

 

National – Full-time judges are best-paid and babysitters and nannies are the least paid

 

Provincial – The best paid in top earning occupations are mostly in Alberta and Ontario

27

CENSUS PROFILES - EARNERS BY SEX AMONG 700+ OCCUPATIONS

 

National – Five times more men earn over $100,000 per year than do women

28

RAISING THE EDUCATIONAL BAR … ESPECIALLY FOR WOMEN

 

National – Women make bigger gains

 

Provincial – Newfoundland has fewest university graduates among both men and women

29

CENSUS PROFILES – HIGHER EDUCATION MEANS MORE DOLLARS

 

National – Additional education has bigger payoff for men

 

Provincial –Ontario has highest earnings while Alberta and BC have biggest pay hikes

30

FULL-TIME AND PERMANENT JOBS STILL THE VAST MAJORITY

 

National – Just a bit of slippage for permanent employment

 

Provincial –Over half of temporary workers in Quebec and Ontario work on contract

31

FEWER PART-TIMERS BLAME IT ON WEAK BUSINESS CONDITIONS

 

National – Most youth who work part-time do so to attend school

 

Provincial – Few part-timers in Newfoundland are working part-time for the life-style

32

PARENTHOOD AND PAID WORK THE REALITY FOR MAJORITY

 

National – Record number of female lone-parents in the paid work force

 

Provincial – Female lone-parents are most likely to be in paid work force in Alberta

33

CENSUS PROFILES - WOMEN DO MUCH MORE UNPAID HOUSEWORK

 

National – The male/female unpaid gap is largest for housework

 

Provincial – The male/female unpaid gap for childcare is smallest in Quebec

34

JOBS ARE LASTING LONGER - TRUE OR FALSE?

 

National – Women gaining on men

 

Provincial – Job tenure shortest in Alberta and British Columbia

35

A GREYER AND GREYER WORKFORCE

 

National – The 45+ crowd is booming  

 

Provincial – Alberta has the youngest workers ... But getting older

36

NARROWING IN RETIREMENT AGE BETWEEN MEN AND WOMEN

 

National – Government employees are the first to retire

 

Provincial – Newfoundland workers retire the earliest

37

ALBERTA IS #1 FOR YOUTH – SASKATCHEWAN MOVES TO SECOND

 

National – Youth in “holding pattern” in 2004 with smallest job increase in seven years

 

Provincial - Alberta retains top spot and Saskatchewan regains second spot

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